Category Archive: Publications

Jun 21 2012

Publication of Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol’s book: A Europe Made of Money

A Europe Made of Money is a new history of the making of the European Monetary System (EMS), based on extensive archive research. Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol highlights two long-term processes in the monetary and economic negotiations in the decade leading up to the founding of the EMS in 1979. The first is a transnational learning process involving a powerful, networked European monetary elite that shaped a habit of cooperation among technocrats. The second stresses the importance of the European Council, which held regular meetings between heads of government beginning in 1974, giving EEC legitimacy to monetary initiatives that had previously involved semisecret and bilateral negotiations. The interaction of these two features changed the EMS from a fairly trivial piece of administrative business to a tremendously important political agreement.

The inception of the EMS was greeted as one of the landmark achievements of regional cooperation, a major leap forward in the creation of a unified Europe. Yet Mourlon-Druol’s account stresses that the EMS is much more than a success story of financial cooperation. The technical suggestions made by its architects reveal how state elites conceptualized the larger project of integration. And their monetary policy became a marker for the conception of European identity. The unveiling of the EMS, Mourlon-Druol concludes, represented the convergence of material interests and symbolic, identity-based concerns.

Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol, A Europe Made of Money: the Emergence of the European Monetary System, Ithaca/NY: Cornell University Press, 2012


More information on the book launch at LSE IDEAS is available here: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/IDEAS/events/events/2013/13-01-22-Druol.aspx
Read Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol’s post on the LSE’s EUROPP blog: “The negotiations which led to the creation of the European Monetary System thirty years ago can shed light on the Eurozone’s crisis”:

Jan 27 2012

How Have Multiple Reserve Currencies Functioned in the Past?

In the 1950s the sterling area (35 countries and colonies pegged to sterling and holding primarily sterling reserves) accounted for half of world trade and sterling accounted for over half of world foreign exchange reserves. In the early post-war years, this share was even higher – the IMF estimated that official sterling reserves, excluding those held by colonies, were four times the value of official USD reserves and that by 1947 sterling accounted for about 87% of global foreign exchange reserves.2 It took ten years after the end of the war (and a 30% devaluation of the pound) before the share of USD reserves exceeded that of sterling. This rather contradicts Chinn and Frankel’s assertion that ‘by 1945 the dethroning [of sterling] was complete’. Figure 1 shows the changing composition of foreign exchange reserves from 1950 to 1982.

How do we explain the gradual nature of the decline of sterling, what Paul Krugman refers to as a ‘surprising persistence’? Was this due to British government efforts to prolong sterling’s role because it increased the capacity to borrow, because it enhanced Britain’s international prestige, or because it supported London as a centre for lucrative international finance? These are the traditional explanations in the literature, but archival evidence shows that from the 1950s many British ministers and officials believed that the burdens of sterling’s role in terms of cost of borrowing and confidence in the exchange rate outweighed the benefits of issuing an international currency (greater demand for national debt).

You can download the paper here.

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Jan 18 2012

80th Anniversary of the End of the Gold Standard

The 1930s Chatham House Study Group on ‘The International Gold Problem’ and the 2011 Chatham House Taskforce on ‘Gold and the International Monetary System’

The economic context of the 1930s Chatham House Study Group was in many ways very different from the modern-day Chatham House Taskforce, of which I am a member, but the focus was the same: the role of gold and the international monetary system. Eighty years ago the international economy was reeling from an international financial crisis that contracted liquidity in domestic and international credit markets, shrank growth rates and led to unemployment at record levels. Despite some superficial similarities with today’s economic environment, the differences are important.

You can download the full working paper here.

Jan 12 2012

The regulation of international financial markets from the 1950s to the 1990s

After 1945, the regulation of international financial markets became more intense and widespread as part of the system designed to avoid the chaos that had characterised international economic relations in the 1930s. This paper examines how the post-war consensus about the usefulness of regulating capital flows evolved after the advent of current account convertibility in 1959. First, an examination of the debate over regulating the Eurodollar market will be used to highlight the contrast between European attitudes to capital markets compared to the views of the USA and the UK, where the differences are not as firm or as reliable as has been portrayed. The archival evidence shows that there were lively concerns about the dangers of the market and vigorous internal discussion about intervention as well as regulation in both London and Washington, and also among banks themselves. Nevertheless, both American and British regulators resisted introducing controls because the benefits of the market for their balance of payments policies outweighed the threats. This is not to say that the British and Americans were opposed to capital controls per se. Indeed, this was a time of deliberate intensification of capital controls in the USA on US$ outflows, and in the UK on sterling transactions. This analysis shows that the traditional story that market innovation undermined the effectiveness of capital controls and therefore led to the collapse of the Bretton Woods system needs to be adjusted to take account of regulators’ roles in allowing that innovation to spread, and how the US and UK deliberately used the market as part of their response to the imbalances in the international economy in the 1960s.

The next part of the paper develops the history of prudential regulation and supervision of international banking that began after the end of the Bretton Woods system. This area has remained a challenge for regulators for much the same reasons that were present in the 1970s: problems of enforcement, the privacy of banking business, and the primacy of national over international interests. A second theme of the paper, therefore, is the enduring conflict between the desire to have national sovereignty over financial markets on the one hand, and the need for supranational oversight to ensure consistency and enforcement of prudential supervision and regulation in an increasingly global market.

Reference

Catherine Schenk (2010) The regulation of international financial markets from the 1950s to the 1990s. In: Battilossi, S. and Reis, J. (eds.) State and Financial Systems in Europe and the USA: Historical Perspectives on Regulation and Supervision in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries. Ashgate, UK, pp. 149-166. ISBN 9780754665946

For more information see the University of Glasgow’s repository.

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Jan 12 2012

The re-emergence of Hong Kong as and international financial centre 1960-78: contested internationalisation

Hong Kong is usually seen as a laissez-faire paradise for international business. This chapter draws on archival sources to show that, contrary to this image, the internationalisation of the banking sector was highly contested both by large local banks and by government regulators. Large banks such as HSBC and Chartered Bank sought to protect their market position against international competition through strategies that constrained entry, including a moratorium on new bank licenses from 1965.  The inability to get a bank license prompted the expansion of finance companies that operated outside the supervisory or regulatory framework and added to the fragility of the financial system and contributed to the banking crises of 1982-86.  Finance companies were required to register their offices only from 1976 and had to provide monthly reports to the banking supervisor only from 1978.  This chapter also identifies the strengths and weaknesses of the international financial centre in Hong Kong in the period before China’s Open Door Policy was launched in 1978, with particular focus on the regulatory environment and the range of activity. Measuring Hong Kong’s international financial flows (including remittances to the mainland) has been hampered by the lack of official statistics and this chapter presents new data gleaned from archive sources.

Reference

Catherine Schenk (2011) The re-emergence of Hong Kong as and international financial centre 1960-78: contested internationalisation. In: Quennouelle-Corre, L. and Cassis, Y. (eds.) Financial Centres and International Capital Flows in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 299-253. ISBN 9780199603503

For more information, see the University of Glasgow’s repository.

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Jan 12 2012

The International Monetary System: Old and New Debates

Professor Catherine Schenk presented a paper on multiple reserve currencies: How have multiple reserve currencies functioned in the past? Why were the rules-based adjustment indicator and the substitution account abandoned in the past?

The paper can be downloaded here.

Image source: http://www.imf.org/external/np/adm/pictures/images/bldextm.jpg

Jan 06 2012

Central Bankers and European Integration in the 1970s

Central Bankers from the Failure of the Werner Plan to the creation of the EMS, 1974-1979

This article focuses on the role of central bankers in European monetary cooperation, from the failure of the Werner Plan to the creation of the European Monetary System (EMS). The role of central bankers in the run-up to the EMS is usually seen as limited : the main feature of the EMS negotiations was that the French president Valéry Giscard d’Estaing and the German chancellor Helmut Schmidt tried to bypass central bankers in order to reach an agreement to which they were otherwise opposed. Based on extensive research in British, French, German and EEC archives, this article stresses instead the continuum of cooperation, the progressive formation of a consensus around the Bundesbank interpretation of monetary policy, and the importance of seeing central bankers as members of a wider transnational monetary elite.

Reference

Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol, “Central Bankers from the Failure of the Werner Plan to the creation of the EMS, 1974-1979,” Histoire, Économie & Société, December 2011, n°4, pp.39-46

More infos on the publisher’s website.

Jan 06 2012

Political Economy and European Integration: the Challenges of the 1970s

Integrating an International Political Economy Dimension into European Integration History: the Challenges of the 1970s

For anyone interested in international political economy (IPE), the fact that European integration is embedded in global influences is, arguably, a given. Economic and monetary phenomena do not really know borders – or at least not in the same way as other fields of foreign policy and cooperation do. As a consequence, taking into account the global context in the study of European developments largely goes without saying. Talking of European monetary cooperation without mentioning the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, explaining various European monetary policies without mentioning the influence of Milton Friedman and the Chicago school, or the US administration’s “neglect” of the dollar in the late 1970s, would be fairly pointless. To put it the other way around: had the US been more amenable to aligning its eco- nomic and monetary policy with the German one, the European Monetary System (EMS) would probably not have been created. Keeping this in mind, this article will briefly set out the state of the field, outline some of the problems/methodological challenges to historical research on the 1970s and finally sketch some potential re- search directions.

Reference

Emmanuel Mourlon-Druol, “Integrating an International Political Economy Dimension into European Integration History: the Challenges of the 1970s,” Journal of European Integration History, volume 17, n°2, pp.335-341

Jan 05 2012

Learning from previous crises

Are we bad students or do we have poor teachers: why don’t we learn the lessons from previous crises?  

The global financial crisis of 2007/8 revealed many flaws in the system of regulating and supervising the international banking and financial system. This article shows that most of these flaws had been recognised in earlier crises throughout the 20th century, but that efforts to reform the system were stymied by a range of practical and institutional factors.

Reference:

Catherine Schenk, Are we bad students or do we have poor teachers: why don’t we learn the lessons from previous crises? Corporate Finance Review, 15 (2), 2010. pp. 5-10. ISSN 1089-327X

Publisher’s URL: http://ria.thomsonreuters.com/EStore/detail.aspx?ID=CMJP

Image: © Bank of England, http://www.flickr.com/photos/bankofengland/6220029883/sizes/m/in/set-72157626686278135/

Jan 05 2012

Governance of Governors

Governance of Governors: the 1974 international banking crisis and the early deliberations of the Basel Committee  

The 2007 global financial crisis exposed a range of weaknesses in the fabric of prudential supervision both at national and international level. Given the failure of the Basel Committee framework to develop effective rules that can be implemented across jurisdictions in a timely manner to increase the resilience of the international financial market to contagious crisis, it is clear that examining the evolution of this framework and how the norms of its operations were determined is a starting point for understanding its weaknesses. This paper reviews the origins and early deliberations of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision using archive sources including the records of meetings to reveal the reasons for teh failure to develop an ‘early warning system’ in the wake of the 1974 international banking crisis.

Reference:

Catherine Schenk, Governance of Governors: the 1974 international banking crisis and the early deliberations of the Basel Committee. In: Corporate Governance in Financial Institutions: Historical Developments and Current Problems: EABH 22nd Annual Conference, 20-21 May 2011, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Publisher’s URL: http://conference.eabh.info/conf.html

Image: © Bank of England, http://www.flickr.com/photos/bankofengland/6220550774/sizes/m/in/set-72157626686278135/

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